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From Tactical Agreement to Strategic Enmity: The Consequences of the "Cold War" Between the US and China

The new Cold War is between China and the United States, a war that is rising to the level of a multi-sided conflict, in which each side seeks to weaken the other. China wants to have a leading position in the world.The new Cold War is between China and the United States, a war that is rising to the level of a multi-sided conflict, in which each side seeks to weaken the other. China wants to have a leading position in the world.

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According to Ashura News, Al Jazeera quoted, “Watch calmly, face difficulties calmly, hide your brilliance like a sword in a sheath, work in silence and wait for opportunities.” This is the strategy that Deng Xiaoping called on his countrymen to adopt in order to achieve renaissance.

Referring to the meeting between US President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping and the agreements reached in this meeting, Al Jazeera wrote that these technical agreements will undoubtedly encounter the high wall of politics and its complex problems, so we cannot expect to resolve all the differences between the two countries, and the only thing that can be achieved is an agreement to prevent the deterioration of economic relations between the two countries in the short term, while strategic differences remain unresolved.

China; A country beyond a rival for the US

Talking about competition between China and the US is no longer acceptable, especially in a situation where the United States classifies its potential enemies into three levels (rival, challenge and threat) and now considers China as the main source of threat to itself.

According to Al Jazeera, what is happening between China and the US is a competition to reach the top. In this arena, postponing a possible confrontation is a solid achievement for Beijing, because time is on its side and all economic, political and military indicators confirm this point. Therefore, the longer China can postpone a definitive confrontation, the less damage it will suffer.

Cold War between the US and China

Al Jazeera called the "Cold War" between the US and China more dangerous and deeper than the Cold War between the US and the Soviet Union of the previous millennium, and stated that the size of the Soviet economy at that time did not exceed 40% of the size of the US economy, while the size of the Chinese economy approached its American counterpart, or according to many estimates, surpassed it if we take into account the exchange rate and purchasing power of the Chinese yuan.

During the Cold War, many countries in the world were outside of that conflict, but today all countries will be affected, as the volume of international economic interactions has increased and the effects of this tension will be transmitted to other countries.

The difference in the governance model between the US and China

The new Cold War is between China and the United States; a war that reaches the level of a multilateral conflict, during which each side seeks to weaken the other. China wants to have a leading position in the world. In this way, China does not want to repeat the American model of world hegemony. The American philosophy of world leadership was based on the "principle of power", which was established by the theory of realism in international relations, while China seeks to establish the "dependence theory", which is based on the principle of cooperation and convergence between countries so that all parties can achieve a "win-win" equation.

Self-made is not a strategy

The sinicization of international trade has led Washington to live in a commercial world that China created. On the other hand, the United States believes that it is facing an enemy that it created itself. The then US President Nixon and his Secretary of State Kissinger were the first to bring American factories to China to separate it from the Soviet Union.

Bill Clinton also supported China's accession to the World Trade Organization, and during his time, most American and Western factories were transferred to China. This trend continued under George W. Bush and Obama.

30% of the world's industries are "Chinese"

The size of China's economy did not exceed $347 billion in 1989, while in 2024 it exceeded $20 trillion, that is, it increased more than 57 times in three decades. A large part of China's economy is based on exports, and Beijing accounts for 30% of the world's industrial value added, meaning that 30% of the world's industries come from China, which is a very large figure. China's exports are also growing at a rate equivalent to three times the growth of international trade.

China's arms growth rate surpasses the rest of the world

China has embarked on its fastest arms development not only in the present era but in all of history, and attaches importance to the development of its naval capabilities, the United States currently has 380 ships, while the United States only has 300 ships. On the other hand, the United States accuses China of economic espionage on it at home and abroad, especially in countries surrounding the United States (Canada and Mexico), and of attracting some of these countries' senior politicians.

Washington also accuses China of launching cyberwars against some American institutions and claims that China is seeking to dominate American and European factories in China, which are estimated to be worth trillions of dollars. This makes the possibility of any military war against China almost impossible.

China monopolizes 80% of rare earth elements

More than 80% of the 17 rare earth elements, seven of which are crucial for advanced industries – from mobile phones to electric cars and drones, etc. – are in China’s hands, and it has banned the export of seven of them to the US.

China’s convergence with India, Russia and its danger to the US

Al Jazeera writes that there is ample evidence of the birth of a new axis between Moscow, Beijing and New Delhi. A few weeks before the recent trilateral summit in Tianjin, the Indian Prime Minister visited Beijing on his first visit after seven years of severance and border disputes. China has strengthened its trade cooperation with India, facilitating visas between the two sides and resuming flights between the two countries after years of closure.

Russian oil shipments to India have not only not stopped due to US sanctions, but have also increased to an unprecedented level; As John Bolton said, the most dangerous threat to America in the 21st century is not China alone, but a trilateral axis that includes Beijing, Moscow, and New Delhi.

Donald Trump also warned in his speech at the United Nations about a new alliance between China, Russia, and India, alleging that China and India were involved in financing Russia in the Ukraine war. These are just some of the reasons that have led Trump to turn to Asia to perhaps find a solution to his country's intractable problems in confrontation with China.

China's arms growth rate surpasses the rest of the world

China has embarked on its fastest arms development not only in the present era but in all of history, and attaches importance to the development of its naval capabilities, the United States currently has 380 ships, while the United States only has 300 ships. On the other hand, the United States accuses China of economic espionage on it at home and abroad, especially in countries surrounding the United States (Canada and Mexico), and of attracting some of these countries' senior politicians.

Washington also accuses China of launching cyberwars against some American institutions and claims that China is seeking to dominate American and European factories in China, which are estimated to be worth trillions of dollars. This makes the possibility of any military war against China almost impossible.

China monopolizes 80% of rare earth elements

More than 80% of the 17 rare earth elements, seven of which are crucial for advanced industries – from mobile phones to electric cars and drones, etc. – are in China’s hands, and it has banned the export of seven of them to the US.

China’s convergence with India, Russia and its danger to the US

Al Jazeera writes that there is ample evidence of the birth of a new axis between Moscow, Beijing and New Delhi. A few weeks before the recent trilateral summit in Tianjin, the Indian Prime Minister visited Beijing on his first visit after seven years of severance and border disputes. China has strengthened its trade cooperation with India, facilitating visas between the two sides and resuming flights between the two countries after years of closure.

Russian oil shipments to India have not only not stopped due to US sanctions, but have also increased to an unprecedented level; As John Bolton said, the most dangerous threat to America in the 21st century is not China alone, but a trilateral axis that includes Beijing, Moscow, and New Delhi.

Donald Trump also warned in his speech at the United Nations about a new alliance between China, Russia, and India, alleging that China and India were involved in financing Russia in the Ukraine war. These are just some of the reasons that have led Trump to turn to Asia to perhaps find a solution to his country's intractable problems in confrontation with China.

 

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