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Aggression under the shadow of the treaty: Why did Trump sacrifice the NPT for Israel?

The US attack on an official member of the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT) was an attempt to compensate for the Israeli regime's desperation; Trump shot at the heart of the most prestigious non-proliferation treaty to save Tel Aviv.

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According to Ashura News, citing Mehr News Agency, in the early hours of Sunday morning, July 2, the world was confronted with a new scene of crime and aggression. It was around 2 am that the US Air Force and Navy, using B-2 stealth bombers and Tomahawk missiles, targeted three Iranian nuclear facilities in Natanz, Fordow, and Isfahan; an operation that not only represented the crossing of diplomatic red lines, but also marked the end of the illusions of a “rules-based order” in the international system.

The attack, coordinated by Tel Aviv and aimed at helping the Zionist regime at the height of its desperation, was carried out in a situation where Iran is still an official member of the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty and all its nuclear activities are carried out under the supervision of the International Atomic Energy Agency. However, the United States and the Zionist regime, without UN authorization and without providing any official evidence of Iran’s deviation from the peaceful path, targeted one of the few transparent members of this legal regime!

The height of Israel’s helplessness; why was Trump forced to intervene?

Although a ceasefire was established between Iran and the Zionist regime on Tuesday morning, July 25, the regime, in the early days of the war with Iran, sought to attack Iran’s defense and industrial infrastructure, but faced numerous operational failures in achieving its strategic goals. The most important challenge was the inability to destroy the underground facilities of Fordow; a center that is several hundred meters deep in the ground and is resistant to any type of conventional Zionist bomb. In contrast, various cities in the occupied territories, from Tel Aviv to Haifa, Ashkelon, etc., were constantly under the precise and powerful missiles of Iran.

Following these failures, concerns in Tel Aviv intensified. Mossad intelligence reports indicated that the regime’s limited and ineffective attacks not only did not stop Iran’s plans, but also created an additional incentive for rapid reconstruction and even acceleration of enrichment. On the other hand, Iran’s air defenses also quickly adapted to the initial waves of attacks and thwarted the Israeli operations. As a result, Zionist officials, especially Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, concluded that without direct American intervention, defeat in the confrontation with Iran was inevitable, and accepting the ceasefire was also a confirmation of the Zionist regime’s desperation.

Last week, the Israeli Prime Minister exerted heavy pressure on the White House through diplomatic channels, AIPAC lobbies, and direct talks with American officials. Media outlets close to Likud also launched a campaign stating that “if America retreats, Israel will be forced to use non-standard options”; A sentence that was evaluated in line with the pressure on the White House. In this atmosphere, Trump found himself in a difficult predicament. On the one hand, he had promised that he would not enter the United States into any war, and on the other hand, America's strategic ally in the Middle East was clearly approaching the brink of defeat.

Finally, the White House's national security and military advisers emphasized that now the United States would be better off helping the Zionists. From a geopolitical perspective, the continuation of the war of attrition without results for the Israeli regime, especially in the upcoming US elections, could have negatively affected Trump's image as a leader supporting Zionism and the Republican Party. Thus, the decision to directly attack sensitive Iranian facilities was, from the perspective of observers, not due to America's strategic will but rather the product of the accumulated pressures of the Zionist regime and Trump's internal political calculations.

Therefore, America's military intervention was more than a demonstration of Trump's power, it was a tacit admission of the strategic inability of the Israeli regime to confront Iran. Washington entered a war that it did not start, but which it saw as threatening the survival of the regional order it wanted. Trump’s intervention was more than anything a sign of the desperation of a long-standing partner who could no longer sustain itself in the region on his own.

The collapse of the golden rule of the non-proliferation regime

The direct attack by two nuclear actors on the declared and IAEA-monitored facilities of a member state of the Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT) dealt the biggest blow to the legitimacy and raison d’être of the treaty since its inception in 1968. Not only is Iran an official member of the NPT, but all of its nuclear activities have been conducted in accordance with international obligations and under the supervision of IAEA inspectors.

However, Washington and Tel Aviv bombed Iran’s peaceful nuclear facilities without providing any official documents or confirmation from the IAEA that Iran had deviated from its peaceful path. This action was not only a clear violation of international law, but also effectively invalidated the fundamental principle of the distinction between peaceful and military activity in the Non-Proliferation Treaty.

Immediately after the attack, senior Iranian officials strongly condemned the aggression, calling it “the practical end of the NPT’s validity.” Foreign Ministry spokesman Esmail Baghaei announced: “From today, no developing country that is a member of the NPT can be satisfied with the promises of this treaty, because membership in the NPT not only does not prevent attacks, but it will also be an excuse for more precise identification and targeting.” It was also stated in an emergency meeting of the Supreme National Security Council that “Iran will henceforth suspend all its extra-safeguards commitments” and that if hostile behavior continues, withdrawal from the NPT will be a serious option on the table.

The bitter irony of the matter is that the Zionist regime, despite possessing nuclear weapons and secretly producing them, has never been a member of the NPT and is not subject to any monitoring; The United States is not only one of the world’s largest nuclear arsenal holders, but it has also systematically violated it by selling dual-use technologies to its allies. The key question for the international community now is: Is the NPT a tool for ensuring global peace or a mechanism for controlling sovereign states?

Iran has repeatedly stressed that if there is no “real support and security mechanism” for its adherence to its commitments, there is no reason to continue participating in this flawed regime. Ali Shamkhani, former secretary of the Supreme National Security Council, previously tweeted: “Attacking a country that is a member of the NPT and has only peaceful facilities is the beginning of a new era of nuclear chaos. If the NPT cannot protect its members, it itself is meaningless.”

Ultimately, what emerged from this military aggression today is a bitter reality for many developing countries: membership in the NPT, contrary to popular belief, is not only not a protective shield but can also become a tool for detection and attack by nuclear powers. This situation is a dangerous turning point in the history of the non-proliferation regime, and if the international community does not show a decisive response to this action, the gradual decline of the NPT's credibility and the repetition of such scenarios in the future world will not be far from the imagination.

Bombing Infrastructure, Not Knowledge; The Beating Heart of Iran's Nuclear Technology

Contrary to Washington and Tel Aviv's claims that Iran's nuclear infrastructure has been completely destroyed, the field realities and official statements by the Islamic Republic of Iran's officials show that the technical structure of Iran's nuclear program is still intact and that no serious damage has been done to the enrichment cycle. The day after the attack, Mohammad Eslami, head of the Atomic Energy Organization of Iran, emphasized: “None of our enrichment activities have been stopped and the main facilities in Natanz and Fordow, despite being targeted, are capable of rapid recovery.” It was also announced that highly enriched uranium reserves and advanced centrifuges have been stored in several places and parts of the enrichment process are being carried out in a dispersed and safe manner in the country.

This fact indicates that Iran, during two decades of pressure, has succeeded in moving from a stage of hardware dependence to a stage of complete localization. Today, enrichment knowledge in Iran is institutionalized not in physical centers but in the scientific, human and technological infrastructure.

Even Western analysts acknowledge that bombing the facilities cannot be equivalent to destroying the nuclear program; because Iran has created the ability to quickly rebuild and operational flexibility in a domestic context. This is the point at which independent states move beyond “technological dependency” to “technological deterrence”; deterrence that ensures the power to recover and continue on the path without the need for weapons.

Ultimately, what the joint US-Zionist attack revealed was not their power but their inability to harness national will and indigenous technology. Iran’s nuclear program has now reached a stage of strategic maturity that is not only unstoppable but will only become stronger and deeper with any external pressure.

 

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